Sunday, 16 March 2025

Let's talk Trump Tariffs...and Truth


 

There is a misconception that Canada has been pillaging the US in trade.  But the numbers do not lie and the truth belies the claims that the Trump administration has put forward.  Let’s consider the facts. 

In 2024, the value of Goods and Services that Canada export to the US showed a favourable value for Canada of $35.7 billion USD. But it is important to understand the specifics.  

The US imports about $130 billion USD of Canadian crude oil.  For many years the US was energy dependent and chose to move that dependency towards Canada as a safe and reliable partner.  Almost 20% of US refineries are designed to only process the heavier Canadian crude.  They purchase this at very favourable rates which are below the world market for oil.  As the US has become less oil dependent because of fracking, US imports from other countries apart from Canada has fallen dramatically, allowing the US to become a net exporter; they now export almost as much oil as they import from Canada.  However, the value of US crude exports is significantly higher because it demands a higher price on world markets. 

So, the US has a consistent, reliable and safe partnership with Canadian producers that keep 20% of the US refineries operating, and they can export over 4 million barrels a day at higher prices.  I can see why that is such a threat... 

Let’s talk aluminum.  Aluminum is an important product for US safety and security given its myriad uses.  From aircraft to cars, cans to foil, furniture to siding, aluminum is used across society. The US has only 4 aluminum smelters and relies on imports to fill domestic needs.  Here stands Canada to fulfill over 60% of that capacity...damn that safe and reliable partner, eh? Aluminum manufacturing is an energy hog.  One large plant consumes as much energy as the city of Cleveland.  To produce the energy the US would need to fill its own requirements would necessitate more manufacturing plants and the equivalent of 4 more Hoover dams. An added bonus, about half of the downstream products produced from this Canadian aluminum in the US is ultimately exported back to Canada as finished goods.  I can see why our partnership is so concerning.  

In 1992, the USA, Canada and Mexico negotiated NAFTA, creating the world’s largest free trade agreement.  It was signed by President Bush.  In October 2018, that agreement was updated, signed on behalf of the US by President Trump.  He called it ‘...the most modern, up-to-date, and balanced trade agreement in the history of our country, with the most advanced protections for workers ever developed.” 

If there is a problem, let’s talk about it.  It has worked for over 30 years to the benefit of all three countries.  It has been perfectly imperfect.  So, let’s drop all this talk about tariffs and get back to the business of business.  It is a lot more fun and a lot more productive. 

Saturday, 1 March 2025

There's a special place in hell!

  

 

Leadership is the purview of the few, not the many.  Therefore, leadership must be realized and treated as a privilege and not a right. We grant leadership to those whom we have determined best represent the qualities and aspirations that we hold for ourselves; and which we trust will be represented in character and in action by those who hold that position. 

It matters not if that role is in academia, religion, business, politics or any other aspect of society.  If you have aspired to and ultimately hold that responsibility...and accountability...you have a standard to uphold.  Those who choose to not fulfill their duties with integrity will be judged and disciplined in some manner.  Perhaps they are fired; perhaps that are deemed unfit and removed by edict; perhaps they are not re-elected.  Regardless, there are consequences that will ultimately, though perhaps not timely, be placed upon those leaders.  For those whose behavior is particularly egregious, the discipline may be particularly harsh. 

However, in many instances, there is a group of supplicants who have enabled the leader. They have witnessed and condoned, or they have been supportive of that leadership conduct which has been so contrary to the legitimate expectations that society holds.   

These enablers have different motives for their response.  Fear, lack of character, some other ulterior motive of self-aggrandizement, desire to be close to power with the opportunity to influence said power.  All of these and more are possible. The actual reason is immaterial.  These people had the opportunity...and the responsibility...to speak truth to power, and they failed!   

Unfortunately, the consequences of their failure fall much further than on only themselves.  All those who were not close enough to see the truth; those who were not in a position to influence the leader; those without a voice; these are the true victims of a leader’s misconduct.  Too often, those close to the flame abandon their responsibilities and seek shelter before the inevitable implosion at the top.  They leave with their spoils...perhaps even with their reputation intact.   

With the opportunity to say something, with the responsibility to do something, you declined. When the fire started you chose to not report it but to fan the flames.  

A leader who is out of control should have restraints. But they restraints are only as strong as those willing to hold fast to the truth.  Which will you be remembered for?  One who abdicated...or one who held fast.   

Know this, there is a special place in hell for the former and praise for the latter! If your legacy means anything to you, stand with truth.